Category: XCFeeds

A collection of live feeds from cross-country ski blogs around the web.
  • Week In Review: Friday Sep 3rd

    Here’s what’s been cooking on the site this week:

    • We played a fun little guessing game, in which I asked you to predict which of five skiers would land on the podium in their very next race.  The answers were revealed today, here.
    • I veered off into some running data, looking at the relationship between average pace and the length of races for world record level runners.  This post prompted a short, but fun discussion in the comments.  Also, see here for a tangentially related post at Andrew Gelman’s blog (a very famous statistician at Columbia) about marathon pacing that prompted me to publish this post when I did.
    • I revisited an idea from way back in the comments section of one of my first articles for FasterSkier.com, measuring how competitive the World Cup circuit is over time (i.e. has it gotten more or less competitive) using something called churn.
    • Athlete retirement posts continue (seemingly forever!) with the biathletes that I know of.  This week, it’s German Simone Hauswald, and she certainly did finish her career on a high note!
    • Finally, NordicXplained has a nice post up recapping the summer’s news in cross-country skiing in which they mention the skier retirement posts I’ve been doing.  Check it out!

    We have another long weekend ahead of us (Labor Day), which if you know anything about my summer so far means you’ll know that I have another wedding to go to.  This will be number five (of six!).  That means Statistical Skier will be probably be quiet until Tuesday.  Next week will see a return to some cycling posts (Vuelta a Espana) along with the regular skiing content.

    I also have some new….”material”, shall we say, that I’m pretty excited about.  I’ll be sharing more of that with you over the coming weeks and months.




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    Related posts:

    1. <Week In Review: Friday July 16th
    2. <Week In Review: Friday July 23rd
    3. <Week In Review: Friday July 30th


  • WORS Racing @ Crystal Ridge

    Last weekend we traveled to the Milwaukee area for some WORS action at Crystal Ridge. This was Lindsey’s first WORS race and first mountain bike race since high school. The day went really well despite 93 F temperatures and a chaotic morning of motorhome issues. Check out the video of her racing below.

  • Prediction Game: Results!

    Back on Monday I posted the graph shown below and posed a question:

    It turns out I didn’t ask my question very clearly, because I had to keep updating the post with clarifications.  So that’s my fault.  Maybe this time I’ll do better.  What I did was plot a part of the time series of FIS points for these five women.  The x axis is time, and the large white grid lines represent around five years.  So the “next race” for these five skiers will not be the same race.  They’re not all about to race against each other.

    My question was for you to pick which of the five would have a top three result in a WC, WSC or OWG in their respective next races.  I provided a few more pieces of information: at least one of the women will succeed (so the answer isn’t “none of the above”) and the one(s) that do, it will be their very first career podium.

    Here’s the answer in graph form:

    Each racer’s next result is shown in red, and they are all top three finishes.  All but Marit Bjoergen’s (2nd place, with a large FIS point score because Bente Skari absolutely demolished everyone that day) were 3rd place finishes.  Now, I didn’t really expect anyone to get this right, and no one did.  But that was kind of my point, as you might have guessed by now.  Predicting results, even very short distances in the future, is hard.  At least, it’s hard if you want predictions that are precise enough not to seem dumb<1.

    On the other hand, I didn’t give you much information to work with.  FIS points arguably aren’t the most indicative piece of information here.  And there is certainly much more information out there that we might consider using if we wanted to do this more seriously.

    I’ve already thought of several variations on this little game (some of which aren’t so purposefully hard), so you’ll have that to look forward to in the future…

    1. I hereby predict that Petter Northug will finish in the top ten in more than half of the distance races he completes next season.  Will you be impressed if I’m right? <↩

    Related posts:

    1. <How Well Prepared Are World Cup Rookies? (Part 1b: Distance)
    2. <Most Improved: Women’s Distance
    3. <Most Unimproved Women: Distance


  • Career Retrospective: Simone Hauswald

    I’ve mentioned before that one of the reasons I enjoy writing posts about skiing is that I learn stuff about my sport.  Writing up a career retrospective post for German biathlete Simone Hauswald was one of those experiences.

    Simone Hauswald has competed internationally since 2000-2001, although she only did a handful of World Cups until the 2002-2003 season.  In that time she’s been a good, but not dominant skier.  She’s had 18 trips to the podium in individual races (and quite a few more on strong German relay teams) over her career in World Cup, OWG or WBC races.

    The cool thing that I learned about Hauswald, though, was that she really went out with a bang this season:

    I haven’t seen many cases where a skier retires after their two best seasons ever.  There was plenty of icing on the cake for Hauswald this season, as she grabbed her first Olympic individual medal (Bronze, 12.5km Mass start) and then won all three World Cup races at the season finale in Oslo!  Her last weekend of racing nearly doubled her World Cup victory total (from 4 to 7).

    Let’s take a look at her performances broken down by races length:

    I suppose this would indicate a slight preference for the 12.5km Mass start event, but it was only this last season where the difference was fairly large.

    How about her shooting:

    It appears Hauswald wasn’t actually a spectacular shot (on average) but pretty solid.  Recall that the solid lines are the seasonal shooting accuracies for Hauswald and the dashed lines are the corresponding accuracies for top ten finishers.  That big dip in 2001-2002 was actually just one (very bad) race so she’s actually been fairly consistent with her shooting over the years.  The prone and standing accuracies have bounced around a bit, but overall she’s shot just north of 80% mostly.

    Anyway, what a way to finish your career, with three straight WC victories.  In Oslo, Norway.  Doesn’t get much better than that.

    More biathlon-educated readers wil probably know that Hauswald is one of three German women to retire this year (Martina Beck, Kati Wilhelm and Hauswald) that might spell quite a bit of change for the German women’s team.

    Related posts:

    1. <Career Retrospective: Rene Sommerfeldt
    2. <Career Retrospective: Claudia Nystad (Kuenzel)
    3. <Career Retrospective: Martina Beck


  • Onion River Nordic Epic Day!

    Onion River Nordic invited me on their annual epic adventure day last Sunday. Super fun group of kids and I was fired up to be a part of it all. Thanks for all the wonderful support from the parents and of course to Dan Voisin for setting the whole thing up!



  • Back to the future Skate Speeds

    a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_xxDw1qNK1JA/TID0mHIcJlI/AAAAAAAAAnQ/SSlzywG85jE/s1600/gandalf-270×300.jpg”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 270px; height: 300px;” src=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_xxDw1qNK1JA/TID0mHIcJlI/AAAAAAAAAnQ/SSlzywG85jE/s320/gandalf-270×300.jpg” border=”0″ alt=”” id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512674879488140882″ //adiv style=”text-align: center;”Sverre Feb. 2029?? read below…/divdiv style=”text-align: center;”br //divdivFinally I was able to dig up these clips from the archives or actually the future. I was having trouble downloading clips from the SD card. Then I figured out these clips were from feb. 2029 (according to the camera) So it looks like global climate change took a turn for the worse! Kidding. There was was one clip that did not make the cut for the video. It was an older man with long gray beard. Kind of like Gandalf the wizard from Lord of the Rings. It was hard to tell but I am pretty sure it was Sverre still coaching 18 years into the future, or maybe BKL camp just ended. hahaha!divbr //divdivbr //divdivSunbowl Summer Skate Speeds Video/divdivbr //divdivbr //divdivbr //divdivbr //divobject width=”320″ height=”266″ class=”BLOG_video_class” id=”BLOG_video-d726ff2010d30657″ classid=”clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000″ codebase=”http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0″param name=”movie” value=”http://www.youtube.com/get_player”param name=”bgcolor” value=”#FFFFFF”param name=”allowfullscreen” value=”true”param name=”flashvars” value=”flvurl=http%3A%2F%2Fv18.nonxt6.googlevideo.com%2Fvideoplayback%3Fid%3Dd726ff2010d30657%26itag%3D5%26app%3Dblogger%26ip%3D0.0.0.0%26ipbits%3D0%26expire%3D1288442607%26sparams%3Did%252Citag%252Cip%252Cipbits%252Cexpire%26signature%3D37E9886664EEEE9AE8300A83C4201FFFCC638D4F.7941878E731F8DC49E50848618386344BE90C723%26key%3Dck1amp;iurl=http%3A%2F%2Fvideo.google.com%2FThumbnailServer2%3Fapp%3Dblogger%26contentid%3Dd726ff2010d30657%26offsetms%3D5000%26itag%3Dw160%26sigh%3Dk83ljdBvu5JXgzKTSIfksD-8Ru4amp;autoplay=0amp;ps=blogger”embed src=”http://www.youtube.com/get_player”width=”320″ height=”266″ bgcolor=”#FFFFFF”flashvars=”flvurl=http%3A%2F%2Fv18.nonxt6.googlevideo.com%2Fvideoplayback%3Fid%3Dd726ff2010d30657%26itag%3D5%26app%3Dblogger%26ip%3D0.0.0.0%26ipbits%3D0%26expire%3D1288442607%26sparams%3Did%252Citag%252Cip%252Cipbits%252Cexpire%26signature%3D37E9886664EEEE9AE8300A83C4201FFFCC638D4F.7941878E731F8DC49E50848618386344BE90C723%26key%3Dck1iurl=http%3A%2F%2Fvideo.google.com%2FThumbnailServer2%3Fapp%3Dblogger%26contentid%3Dd726ff2010d30657%26offsetms%3D5000%26itag%3Dw160%26sigh%3Dk83ljdBvu5JXgzKTSIfksD-8Ru4autoplay=0ps=blogger”allowFullScreen=”true” //object/divdiv class=”blogger-post-footer”img width=’1′ height=’1′ src=’https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/4680416899705879324-832924128373179551?l=smsxc.blogspot.com’ alt=” //div

  • Leadville at last!

    I know that it is LONG overdue but I haven’t had time to sit still since last weekends Leadville 100. Until now… it’s taken a blown brake line in the motorhome while attending the WORS races at Crystal Ridge in Milwaukee, WI to make me sit in one place.

    I left Marquette on July 27th, heading out to Park City for work and then traveled directly to Colorado afterwards to continue acclimating to the higher elevations that I would be racing at in Leadville. Living at a little over 600ft, the 12,600ft of Hope Pass can easily put a flatlander into a hypoxic state. Running 100 miles in a day can and will put enough stress on the system and dealing with that in itself would be enough to handle. Within a few days of getting to elevation I went from felling great, to sluggish, and back to good, but after 3 weeks of thinner air I was starting to feel awesome.

    The race gets underway extremely early, 4 a.m. and for once I am happy that Lindsey’s baking job has completely shifted my sleeping schedule. My alarm went off at 2 a.m. and I was able to wake up with out a fight. I made sure to go about my morning routine as I would for any other distance race, a good cup of coffee, a bowl of oatmeal (because it sticks to your ribs) and then made sure that I continued to watch my hydration levels.

    With part of my crew in tow and the rest meeting me at the start, I headed into town to check in at 6th and Harrison.

    I wanted to make sure that I didn’t get to excited or start to fast and was able to do a pretty good job of sticking to plan. I settled in as we made our way down the Boulevard and out towards Turquoise Lake and as we hit the lake shore’s single-track I was running with a group of people with the same pace in mind. The end of Turquoise Lake marks the 13.5 mile point in the race as well as the first aide station, Mayqueen. (Due to the number of racers who set out to run this year, I asked my crew to bypass this access point and head directly to Fish Hatchery at 24 miles.) When I came through Mayqueen it was still very dark and the temps were still in the low 40’s. I hadn’t blown through all of my nutrition and decided to just cruise through. Leaving Mayqueen we ran through a fairly gnarly single-track section that includes some of the first elevation gain of the day. I made it through the section very smooth and my legs were finally starting to loosen up and feel like they may be able to do what I needed them to do for the day. I hit Haggerman Pass Rd and made made my way to the top of Sugarloaf for the decent down Powerline. I knew that I was being smart and taking things out at a realistic pace, but it didn’t take long to see the carnage of those who didn’t take the same approach. 15 or 16 miles in and you can already see the terror in some runners eyes as you move slowly by them and they know it’s going to be a longer day then they expected.

    If there is one thing that I would like to improve about my running in the immediate future, it is how I descend.  Living in Marquette I don’t really get the opportunity to run down hill for more than a mile or two, so needless to say, descending for 35-40-55 minutes straight beats the hell out of me and more specifically my quads. This descending caught up with me with about 50 yards left to go of Powerline. My legs gave out and before I knew it I was sliding on my arms and belly. It’s been a long damn time since I’ve fallen running and it caught me by surprise. I sprung up, did a quick inventory and let the endorphin rush carry me through Fish Hatchery.

    Fish Hatchery came quicker than I had expected and I rolled through about 15 minutes ahead of schedule. I made my way through the aide station and then handed myself over to the care of my crew for the first time. I imagine that they had about the precision on a NASCAR pit crew and I was immediately headed out on the road for what has to be the most miserable section of the Leadville 100. Flat, open, boring road for about 4 miles. As bad as this section is outbound, it’s significantly worse inbound. After 4 miles I turned onto the pipeline and after a minute or two I cruised up to my crew at Treeline. Again, not sticking around more than a minute, I topped off and headed out on my way to Halfmoon 2 and then Twin Lakes. These next two segments seemed to go buy really quick. I had settled in to a rhythm, cranked my iPod and I was diligent about my nutrition  consumption.

    The last 2 miles or so into Twin Lakes is another fairly punishing down hill and the last 50 meters or so is a crazy steep drop that gathers the attention of the crowds, most of whom I think are waiting to see carnage as we drop into the aide station. Again I quickly passed through the aide station and moved onto where my crew was set up.  This was the first point in the race where I saw my pacers. I had them head back to the house and rest up so that they were ready to go when I needed them late in the day. It was great to see everybody and it reenergized me for what lay in my immediate future, Hope Pass.

    Leaving Twin Lakes I was at the low point of the course, ~9,300ft and over the next 7.5 miles I would cross thigh deep streams, climb to 12,600ft and drop back to 10,300ft. The climb to Hope Pass went about how I had expected it would, it was hard, I was hot and I found myself ski walking 90% of it. Just before reaching the top of Hope I made a quick stop at the Hopeless aide station to top off both of my handhelds. Cresting the top I began the steep descent and had a great run down to the bottom and the rest of the way into Winfield at 50 miles. I found myself pretty far ahead of my planned arrival but was feeling fantastic and I was ready to make the turn around as quick as possible.

    Arriving Winfield and the 50 mile mark meant the I could now pick up a pacer. Brian Hall would take the role of the first of my three pacers for the next 50 miles. Brian and I left Winfiled and made our way down Winfield Road towards the base of Hope. We made extremely good time and we were ready to start climbing before I knew it. Roch Horton at Black Diamond Equipment was kind enough to hook me up with their new Z-Poles and I ended up using them to crush the ascents from Hope until the Boulevard as well as using them as my 3rd and 4th legs on the descents. We kept a constant pace all the way up and Brian made sure to keep on me about my fuel and hydration as well as provide a significant amount of motivation. We were up and over to Hopeless aide station very quickly but things would slow down pretty rapidly from there for the next few miles. As I mentioned earlier, descending is not my specialty and the previous descents left my quads in pretty rough shape. I wasn’t able to get back down to Twin Lakes nearly as fast as I would have liked and I babied my quads in fear of the downhills that lie ahead.

    Brian did a fantastic job of bringing from Winfield to Twin Lakes. Arriving in Twin Lakes I stopped where my crew was setup before checking in at the aide station. No sense in backtracking. This was my longest stop of the day and I think it may have been the first time I took the opportunity to sit down. I made sure to get down some more solid food and got another great opportunity to absorb some of the energy that my crew was putting out. I was feeling a little worked and with a big climb out of Twin Lakes any energy I could snag was welcomed.

    Tim Wong took over the pacing duties at Twin Lakes and would keep me moving towards Fish Hatchery. Once again, the climbing was tough but we made decent time and after a couple of miles we were back to running. I’m pretty sure that this is the point in the race where I started to lose a little brain function. Up until this segment of the race I can recall everything image for image, things changed here though and I only recall small parts of conversations, Halfmoon 2 aide station and then rolling into Treeline. Coming into Treeline I was running pretty steady but definitely slower and I was finding it more and more difficult to start running again if I needed to stop for any reason.

    We only stopped at Treeline for just a couple of minutes before heading out on the road section to Fish Hatchery. Bryon Powell of irunfar.com was hanging out and it was great to get a few words of encouragement from him before moving on. Coming through Treeline I achieved my first goal of the day, arriving in daylight! In fact, the sun was still high enough that I was able to put off snagging my headlamp until Fish Hatchery.

    The next 4 miles were brutal. You can see where you need to get to but it was 4 miles away and even though I knew I was moving forward I never felt like I was getting any closer. I think Tim may have struggled with this section as well from talking to him post race, but he did a fantastic job of hiding that and if he was hating life, he hid it well. I suppose thats how a pacer should handle it.

    Arriving at Fish Hatchery I quickly weighed in at the aide station and went right into the care of my crew. I picked up a pair of arm warmers and my headlamp and my new pacer, Lindsey! Lindsey’s job for the day was to take me the last 24 miles to the finish which was not going to be an easy task. I was dealing with some calf issues as we left the crew but after a few minutes we were back to a jog and then a run. Once we hit the base of the Powerline climb I once again started using the trekking poles from Black Diamond and we set a solid base towards the top. There are two false summits before reaching the top and it wasn’t until the second that we needed to use our headlamps. I was pretty pumped about that and it helped push me over the last climb and towards the descent to Haggerman Pass Rd.

    The top of Powerline brought the absolute low point for me in the race and the first time in the day where I though that I wouldn’t make it to the finish. My quads were beat up beyond all belief and I could no longer run down hill. I got passed by a few people on the down hill and this through me for a little bit of a loop. The singletrack leading down into Mayqueen was dark, seemed significantly more technical than it did in the morning and it seemed like I could hear the crowds at the aide station but that I was ever getting any closer.

    Needless to say that I was extremely relieved to get to Mayqueen but mentally I was pretty beat up. All I wanted to do was stop but my crew was there to save the day once again and between seeing them and a cup of ramen noodles from the aide station, I somehow ended up back out on the course and moving through the last 13.5 miles to the finish.

    While everyone played a huge role in getting me to the finish, I would have never made it the last section with out Lindsey. I was tired, hurting and definitely not 100% mentally aware. She seemed to call out every rock, root, stump and twist in the trail and made it possible for me to concentrate on one task, moving my feet. She’s paced me before and has always done a fantastic job but the way she took control at Leadville was on another level. I wouldn’t trade her for any pacer in the world.

    We hit the Tabor Boat ramp and were greeted by part of my crew and I was glad to know there were less than 7 miles left in the race. There was no stopping, no slowing down and we kept heading towards the end of Turquoise Lake. At the end of the lake we popped out and crossed the road and my whole crew was there. One last steep descent down a powerline and it was gravel roads to the finish. It was awesome to get to this point and I new that I could walk it in from here and finish the race with out any issues. However, I had goals for the day and Lindsey and I kept pushing as hard as I could go towards town. At this point I figured out that I could speed hike faster than I could run and so thats what we did. Every now and then we would shuffle as quick as I could and then return to speed hiking.

    The last push took everything that I thought I had but with a mile to go I found a reserve  from out of nowhere and ran at what felt like 10k pace up 6th St to the finish at Harrison. I finished in 22 hours 49 minutes! While I didn’t make the A goal I had set out for myself it was a damn good day and I now have my first “big” buckle. There is absolutely no way that I could have had the race that I did with out the support of my incredible crew. I am incredibly fortunate that my family (Tom and Marla Dehlin and Bill Dehlin), and my friends (Todd Hanson, Tim Wong and Brian Hall) are all willing to give up their time, money and sanity to help me achieve my goals. It also goes with out saying that I am beyond lucky to have a wife that understands and is willing to partake in the craziness of my running and their is no better way to spend my time than running with my wife.

    So thats Leadville in Cliff Notes. I’ll post my race plan in a couple of days for those of you who would like to see how I planed out my race and what the goals for the day were and how they could change depending on different factors.

    We’ll be heading back to Leadville next year but there is a good chance that I’ll be playing the pacing role and helping Lindsey to her first buckle!





  • Belated Biathlon and BKL Blog

    At the beginning of August Hans, Eth, Misha, Susan and I headed to a week-long biathlon camp in Jericho. For the rest of the crew it was something they had done before but attending a true biathlon training camp was a very new experience for me. I had certainly never done that much shooting and there was a lot to learn every day. In some ways I felt like I was playing catch-up, since I’m pretty new to shooting I always had to ask lots of questions to clarify what the workout was or what I was supposed to be doing. A good example of this was one morning when Algis told me to “ski and shoot” to confirm my zero. That means you’re only supposed to ski a quick range loop and come back to shoot again, but I didn’t know that so I went out and skied a couple kilometers! Algis was standing there wondering where I had gone to.

    Despite the fact that I sometimes felt a bit lost, I really loved having a week dedicated to biathlon. The huge volume of shooting made for plenty of opportunities to improve and it was fun to feel like I was getting a little better at every training session. Having almost all the biathletes in the country training in the same place for a week was also really fun. The camp ended with two roller ski biathlon races, a sprint on Saturday and a pursuit on Sunday.

    Getting some last minute instructions from Algis.

    Getting some last minute instructions from Algis.

    Algis told me to approach the races just like training, but I still got a bit too amped up for the sprint and ended up shooting really poorly. I was determined to do fewer penalty laps the next day (it turns out watching people pass you while you ski around in circles is a huge bummer), so with the help of some coaches I identified a few changes to make before Sunday. It helped a lot and I even managed to hit 4 on my first prone stage!  You’re probably not supposed to show any emotion after shooting – either positive or negative – but I was so happy after that stage I’m pretty sure I had a huge smile on my face from the moment I stood up all the way through the penalty lap. Obviously I still have a long, long way to go with shooting but I left camp feeling really excited and motivated to keep working on it.

    My Dad came over from Maine to watch the races, which was wonderful!

    My Dad came over from Maine to watch the races, which was wonderful!

    The rest of the GRP came down to help with the races and cheer.

    The rest of the GRP came down to help with the races and cheer. Thanks guys!

    Hans on the podium!

    Hans on the podium!

    A couple weeks after Jericho we hosted our second BKL camp of the summer. Thankfully the week was not nearly as hot as the July camp. The kids did a great job and it was a fun week! Here are a few photos from the adventure race.

    Craftsbury boys heading in from the canoe-o section.

    Craftsbury boys on the lake.

    Embarking on the mountain bike portion of the race.

    Embarking on the mountain bike portion of the race.

    A couple BKLers taking a watermelon feed.

    A couple BKLers taking a watermelon feed.

    Josh and Soph consulting the map.

    Josh and Soph consulting the map.

  • This one is for Mom!

    I’ll be the first to admit that the idea of blogging has never greatly appealed to me but it really is one of the best ways to show what we do on the Green Team in our daily lives so I am coming around to it. And since my mom keeps asking why I never post anything on the blog, I proudly bring you the summer in short!

    I graduated from Dartmouth June 13th and moved into the house shortly thereafter. Transitioning from college life to being a full time athlete was harder in many ways than I expected. It involved a lot more downtime than I was accustomed to in my school days and it took a while for me to actually put my feet up for a while in the afternoon to absorb and recover from workouts. So for living situation and group dynamic at the house has been really productive. Having training partners around at a high level to push workouts as well as instant feedback from Pepa has been one of the biggest differences from past summers training mostly alone. As well, the farmhouse we live in was a bit of a shock compared to the college apartments that I had become accustomed to in the past years. There has been a remarkable dearth of small furry critters residing in the house, no electrical wiring that appears from the Edison era, or the nice leaded paint dust film that built up on the window sills of 14 West Wheelock Street. Moving into a clean, comfortable environment conducive to training, I just felt…better… than in the previous months. Unfortunately the roof of the farmhouse is much harder to get on than my previous residence.

    Adapting to the actual training was probably one of the easier aspects of the move. Pepa’s coaching style is different in some ways to my past coaches, but in the whole very similar with a focus on summer volume while still maintaining quickness, speed, and good technique. I think by the end of the summer I might even be able to bench my body weight, finish a plyo jump workout without being incapacitated for a week afterwards, and do at least 50% of what Pepa can do on her wheel of torture ab roller!

    Work at the center has also been great. The COC has a garage full of toys to help accomplish any job or task and Dylan and I have been quick to put the tractor and Argos to work on projects. Craftsbury is currently in the process of installing 8 large tracking solar panels on the upper soccer field and Dylan and I have been clearing the tree line to let in more sun as well as generally prep the site for installation. The installation of the panels should go quick once all the concrete footings are in place and be quite a sight!

    Dylan and I putting the tractor and winch to work on the Solar Panel Project

    Dylan and I putting the tractor and winch to work on the Solar Panel Project

    Dylan getting in some extra pull-ups on the job

    Dylan getting in some extra pull-ups on the job

    As well a bunch of us on the team have been hard at work cutting single track trails for mountain biking and trail running. The rocky terrain coupled with cedar bogs makes for some incredible riding terrain and technical challenges such as rock drops and log rides although it also makes the trails much slower to cut and buff out. Hopefully by the end of the fall we should have a linkable network of new and old single-track for longer rides. On top of the Kingdom Trails and Cady’s Falls network, there will be a great variety of riding all within a short drive!

    Kingdom Trails-Life is Good!

    Kingdom Trails-Life is Good!

    September marks a bit of a turning point in my schedule. After a productive chunk of time in Craftsbury interspersed with some trips to Hanover and Home, I am headed out West for two weeks. Should be a blast!

    Moab calls (again)!   Post NCAAs 2010

    Moab calls (again)! Post NCAAs 2010

    Probably not this much snow in the La Sal Mountains this time around though...

    Probably not this much snow in the La Sal Mountains this time around though…

  • Renewed

    A week shy of six months. That’s how long it’s been since I posted here. During that time I’ve been getting 150-250 visitors per month, which is kind of shocking, given how long it’s been since I’ve written anything. Furthermore, a quick look at the page-views makes me think that roughly three-quarters of those visitors are actually looking for content from me. So for those of you still patiently waiting for my return, wait no more, I’m back! Sort of.

    Today I renewed braytonosgood.com for another five years (though I’m pretty confident that if I had accidentally let it lapse, I would have been able to get it back). It wasn’t quite as good a deal as when Yahoo sold it to me the first time around, but I’ll survive. I also promise to start the blog back up again. I don’t quite know what form it will take – probably a little bit more story focused and a little less about individual races and training sessions. Maybe a little bit more personal is the best way to describe the writing I have yet to produce. I also promise to get pictures going again.

    But, since this is a blog about ski racing, and I want to keep that context, there’s not going to be much to see here for a little while. Come back in November – I promise another post in two months.

  • School Start

    a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7XPM2Qw2I/AAAAAAAAEPs/fl8iFyATHwU/s1600/IMG_8149.JPG”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 202px;” src=”http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7XPM2Qw2I/AAAAAAAAEPs/fl8iFyATHwU/s400/IMG_8149.JPG” border=”0″ alt=””id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512079650094891874″ //aMac muscles his way around the inside of one of the the orientation events.br /a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7W5dtZw1I/AAAAAAAAEPk/EGy0L7ohBm4/s1600/IMG_8151.JPG”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 253px;” src=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7W5dtZw1I/AAAAAAAAEPk/EGy0L7ohBm4/s400/IMG_8151.JPG” border=”0″ alt=””id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512079276664013650″ //aNick leads the pack with Lake St Catherine in the background. It was beautiful and hot for day 2 of orientation and we were all very happy to be at the lake.br /a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7WRv9MK7I/AAAAAAAAEPc/UEN_22ZVTMs/s1600/IMG_8154.JPG”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 235px;” src=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7WRv9MK7I/AAAAAAAAEPc/UEN_22ZVTMs/s400/IMG_8154.JPG” border=”0″ alt=””id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512078594367302578″ //aCanoe relay picture from yesterday.br /a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7VoTE1AkI/AAAAAAAAEPU/CbX7FBgUJWY/s1600/IMG_8161.JPG”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 232px;” src=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7VoTE1AkI/AAAAAAAAEPU/CbX7FBgUJWY/s400/IMG_8161.JPG” border=”0″ alt=””id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512077882240074306″ //aSisters, alums, current Dartmouth skiers, Sophie and Izzy are training with us the next 3 weeks.br /a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7U0MLmbWI/AAAAAAAAEPM/cAA58ob7QP8/s1600/IMG_8166.JPG”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 258px;” src=”http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7U0MLmbWI/AAAAAAAAEPM/cAA58ob7QP8/s400/IMG_8166.JPG” border=”0″ alt=””id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512076987036233058″ //aThe boys crest the hill. 5 km double pole, 5 km single pole, repeat.br /Today was our first day of classes and after a busy orientation and a great summer of training, we are willing to take it a little easy to allow everyone to work into things.br /a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7UCAjpLcI/AAAAAAAAEPE/ON2w4ngcaDY/s1600/IMG_8168.JPG”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 356px;” src=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7UCAjpLcI/AAAAAAAAEPE/ON2w4ngcaDY/s400/IMG_8168.JPG” border=”0″ alt=””id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512076124922392002″ //aYou can almost see the heat coming off the pavement. I don’t like really hot days and today we cut it off a bit short because of the heat. Everyone got 1- 1.5 hrs of good specific strength so it was fine.br /a onblur=”try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}” href=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7TZIvp4HI/AAAAAAAAEO8/_R0FLKS9h4g/s1600/IMG_8170.JPG”img style=”display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 300px;” src=”http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_H2SCM3lmKm8/TH7TZIvp4HI/AAAAAAAAEO8/_R0FLKS9h4g/s400/IMG_8170.JPG” border=”0″ alt=””id=”BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5512075422745616498″ //aTess enjoys her warm power bar after the ski.div class=”blogger-post-footer”img width=’1′ height=’1′ src=’https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/4680416899705879324-602448451806274172?l=smsxc.blogspot.com’ alt=” //div

  • Measuring Competitiveness Using Churn

    In one of the articles I wrote for FasterSkier.com, someone asked a question in the comments that I thought was interesting, so I dashed off a quick answer.  Sadly, as is common when I do something quickly, I made a mistake.  So I need to correct the record.

    Commenter triguy mentioned that it would be interesting to look at the number of different skiers who land on the podium during each season.  I hacked out something really quick in SQL and slapped it up in a comment.  I had meant to return to that idea and look at turnover among top 10 finishers, top 30, etc.

    When I did, I discovered a small error in the numbers I posted in that comment.  The general trend is roughly the same, but the ratios should all be shifted slightly.  So, my bad.  But now I get to elaborate on that idea with actual graphs!The idea here is that the number of different skiers landing on the podium over the course of a season might give us some measure of how competitive the international ski racing scene is from year to year.  So let’s say that we have a season with 10 races.  That gives us 30 podium spots to allocate among our skiers.  If the same three skiers always land in the top three (possibly in different orders) we’d have a churn value of 3/30, or not much churn.

    If no single skier placed in the top three more than once, we’d get a churn value of 30/30, or a ton of churn (the most we could possible get, actually).

    I actually made two small errors in calculating these the first time around.  The first error was just a minor programming bug that inflated the values slightly.  The second was that I neglected to account for a small remaining effect that stems from changes in the number of races that take place each season.

    If you notice, the minimum amount of churn we can get for podium finishes, with 10 races, is 3/30.  But that minimum gets smaller as the number of races goes up.  So the possible range of churn values is actually changing with the number of races.  This means that simply dividing the number of unique skiers with top 3 finishes by 30 isn’t enough.  We need to scale each value relative to the possible range of churn for that number of races.

    In the example I used above, suppose that 10 different skiers finished in the top three during our season,  Then we’d have to calculate our churn as (10/30 – 3/30) / (1- 3/30).  So that’s:

    (Observed Churn – Minimum Churn) / (Range of possible churn values)

    Complicated enough yet?

    Here’s a graph of the churn values of the top 3, top 10 and top 30 for men’s and women’s distance races over the past 19 seasons:

    There’s a small, but steady, increase in churn among the top three, for both men’s and women’s distance races.  The men’s distance events had an extremely unusual year this past season.  I’m betting it will bump back up again somewhat next year, but we’ll see.  We happen to have three fairly dominant distance skiers at the moment in Petter Northug, Dario Cologna and Marcus Hellner.

    Churn among top ten finishers for men’s distance races have maybe inched up slightly as well, but the rest have been essentially flat.  This would suggest that the international racing scene is just as, or perhaps slightly more competitive now than at any point in the past 19 years.

    The sprinting panels are pretty interesting.  The dramatic differences between them and the distance events probably has to do with the newness of sprinting.  As sprinting has gained in popularity and more athletes and nations are focusing on it, it will be harder for a small number of people to dominate these races.  The graph suggests that the churn for sprinting might be converging towards the equivalent levels for distance racing, although time will tell on that one.

    Now for a bit of surprise, here’s an graph showing the churn for men’s and women’s biathlon:

    Biathlon has a “sprint” race but it’s not at all the same thing as sprinting in cross-country, so I consider everything they do on the international scene to be in a distance event.  I’m including this due to the rather obvious differences, which I thought might be interesting.  Churn in biathlon decreased for much of the 1990′s and then has slowly been ticking up again over the last decade.

    I don’t know enough about international biathlon racing to comment intelligently on why we’d see a pattern like this, but I thought it noteworthy.

    Related posts:

    1. <Skiing Performance and Age
    2. <Introducing: Biathlete Rankings
    3. <A New Sprint Points Method


  • Lake Placid Iron Kids @ John Brown Farm

    bLocal kids cross-country running program starts up next Wednesday the 8th. /bdivLocation: John Brown Farm, Lake Placid/divdivDays/Times: M-W-F 3:45-4:45/divdivContact: Rick Costanza span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-family: ‘times new roman’, ‘new york’, times, serif; border-collapse: collapse; “bspan style=”font-family:Arial;font-size:100%;”span style=”font-size: 13px; “a rel=”nofollow” href=”mailto:rtcostanza@gmail.com” target=”_blank” style=”color: rgb(17, 65, 112); “rtcostanza@gmail.com/a/span/span/b/span/divdivbr //divdiviHere’s what Rick has to say:/i/divdivspan class=”Apple-style-span” style=” border-collapse: collapse; font-family:’times new roman’, ‘new york’, times, serif;”p style=”margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 7px; margin-left: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”Hi Everyone,/span/span/pp style=”margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 7px; margin-left: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”T/spanspan class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”he bLake Placid Iron Kids running program/b will begin for the fall season on bWednesday, September 8/bbth/bb /bat John Brown Farm. We will meet M-W-F from 3:45 to 4:45. /span/spanspan style=”letter-spacing: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”We are pleased to offer kids the opportunity to run, play and have fun. This is the tenth year of the program offering kids ages 8 and up a chance to run with local coaches and have the option to compete in a few races./span/span/span/pp style=”margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 7px; margin-left: 0px; text-align: justify; “span style=”letter-spacing: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”There is no fee to join the program but all participants wishing to compete in the USA Track and Field qualifiers will be required to join USATF. The Lake Placid Iron Kids is a registered club with the Adirondack Association of USA Track and Field. Coaching is provided by club coaches Rick Costanza and Paul Woodruff. Others may be added and new assistant coaches are always welcome. /span/span/span/pp style=”margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 7px; margin-left: 0px; text-align: justify; “span style=”letter-spacing: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”Sign up for the program will be at the first practice. /span/span/span/pp style=”margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 7px; margin-left: 0px; text-align: justify; “span style=”letter-spacing: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”For repeat Iron Kids families: The program is essentially unchanged from previous years with the new twist. We no longer have funding from Iron Man so we will not be able to pick up the cost of entry fees or T-shirts. We are planning to add in a few paintball biathlon days at Mt. Van Hoevenberg and perhaps a trial run at the Paul Smiths VIC. /span/span/span/pp style=”margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 7px; margin-left: 0px; text-align: justify; “span style=”letter-spacing: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”I look forward to another season with all of you./span/span/span/pp style=”margin-top: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-bottom: 7px; margin-left: 0px; text-align: justify; “span style=”letter-spacing: 0px; “span style=”font-family:Arial;”span class=”Apple-style-span” style=”font-size:small;”Rick/span/span/span/p/span/divdiv class=”blogger-post-footer”img width=’1′ height=’1′ src=’https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/1362992899157556571-6597343742252469725?l=comeskiwithme.blogspot.com’ alt=” //div

  • Still going

    My Australian adventure is winding down faster than I would like.  After the Hoppet, I kept skiing as much as possible, enjoying the sunshine and camaraderie.  That caught up with me yesterday when I woke up absolutely exhausted and took a relaxing day off to catch up on some much needed rest.  Got out for more skiing this morning, though the weather is moving back in quickly.  I’m pretty sure the Dam Wall in Falls Creek could give Mt Washington a good run for the windiest place on Earth.

    Wrapped up my final intensity workout on snow for a few months this morning, hammering up the Paralyzer a good six times on my classic skis.  Tomorrow, I’ll get out for a final long ski in the morning, before packing and heading out in the afternoon (read: ahvo).

    One of the big highlights I’m looking forward to is catching an Aussie Rules Football match in Melbourne on Friday night – Geelong vs. St Kilda.  It’s the semi-final championship game of the season, equivalent to the NFC championship for the NFL.  Not exactly sure how we got tickets, but I can’t wait for the game, taking place at the MCG Stadium – Home of the 1964 Melbourne Olympics.  Should be a good chance to experience some real Aussie culture.

    For now, here’s a shot of a few of my new Australian crew.  All the folks I’ve met Down Under have gone a long way towards helping make this an epic summer (or winter) trip.  Thanks!

  • COLORADO

    Colorado is great! My aunt, uncle, and older cousin have made it safely to Hawaii (first day of college starts next week, good luck Veronica!!!), and I’m here with my little cousin.
    I start my day off with feeding the dog and cats, then I eat breakfast with my cousin and then bring her to school. Then I explore the area on my rollerskis untill I get tired… This morning I rollerskied up on a ridge with some huge stone houses and a beautiful mountain view… Then I eat lunch and entertain myself untill its time to pick up Ali. She does her homework and then we go for a bike ride (and big old cousin Lindsay makes her wear her helmet). Then I cook dinner. Last night I made some gingered beef meatballs and broccoli in a sesame orange sauce served over brown rice. I do believe Ali’s quote was ‘this is so good it should be illegal’. YAY! :^)

  • COLORADO

    Colorado is great! My aunt, uncle, and older cousin have made it safely to Hawaii (first day of college starts next week, good luck Veronica!!!), and I’m here with my little cousin.
    I start my day off with feeding the dog and cats, then I eat breakfast with my cousin and then bring her to school. Then I explore the area on my rollerskis untill I get tired… This morning I rollerskied up on a ridge with some huge stone houses and a beautiful mountain view… Then I eat lunch and entertain myself untill its time to pick up Ali. She does her homework and then we go for a bike ride (and big old cousin Lindsay makes her wear her helmet). Then I cook dinner. Last night I made some gingered beef meatballs and broccoli in a sesame orange sauce served over brown rice. I do believe Ali’s quote was ‘this is so good it should be illegal’. YAY! :^)

  • COLORADO

    Colorado is great! My aunt, uncle, and older cousin have made it safely to Hawaii (first day of college starts next week, good luck Veronica!!!), and I’m here with my little cousin.
    I start my day off with feeding the dog and cats, then I eat breakfast with my cousin and then bring her to school. Then I explore the area on my rollerskis untill I get tired… This morning I rollerskied up on a ridge with some huge stone houses and a beautiful mountain view… Then I eat lunch and entertain myself untill its time to pick up Ali. She does her homework and then we go for a bike ride (and big old cousin Lindsay makes her wear her helmet). Then I cook dinner. Last night I made some gingered beef meatballs and broccoli in a sesame orange sauce served over brown rice. I do believe Ali’s quote was ‘this is so good it should be illegal’. YAY! :^)

  • COLORADO

    Colorado is great! My aunt, uncle, and older cousin have made it safely to Hawaii (first day of college starts next week, good luck Veronica!!!), and I’m here with my little cousin.
    I start my day off with feeding the dog and cats, then I eat breakfast with my cousin and then bring her to school. Then I explore the area on my rollerskis untill I get tired… This morning I rollerskied up on a ridge with some huge stone houses and a beautiful mountain view… Then I eat lunch and entertain myself untill its time to pick up Ali. She does her homework and then we go for a bike ride (and big old cousin Lindsay makes her wear her helmet). Then I cook dinner. Last night I made some gingered beef meatballs and broccoli in a sesame orange sauce served over brown rice. I do believe Ali’s quote was ‘this is so good it should be illegal’. YAY! :^)